From “black swan” to “green swan” in eco-politics

In the eco-political history of the world, the coronavirus pandemic has been recorded as a “black swan”. While the term itself refers to a very low risk problem, it refers to an event or process that causes irreversible and drastic changes in the global ecopolitical environment. It’s like the September 11 attacks in the United States or the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989.

In 2019, according to the global risk ranking of the world’s leading companies, the risk of pandemic and infectious diseases was registered in eighth place. Naturally, he suddenly became the first in 2020.

For the past 10 years, global virus outbreaks have been the main fictional storylines in the film and television industry – but no one thought it likely. However, when the coronavirus pandemic rocked the whole world, the situation changed dramatically.

The reason COVID-19 is defined as a black swan isn’t just because it has unexpectedly affected the whole world. In fact, it drastically changed everything from everyday and professional life to the global economy and commerce. The priorities and expectations of consumers have also changed. The pandemic has brought new approaches to the expectations of the housing industry and new ways of working to the automotive and transportation industries.

Megatrends and climate

The pandemic has also accelerated processes related to the concepts of hypersonic digitization, mobility and sustainability – the 21st century megatrends in terms of global economics and politics. That’s why we talk about energy, digital, green and information transformations almost every day.

In addition, we now have climate change, crises and security issues. So much so that climate change is now called the “green swan” in international eco-politics. The concepts of climate crisis and security are expected to bring about great transformations in the daily lives of people around the world.

For example, Turkey, as a country that closely follows these rapid developments regarding climate-related realities, has joined the Paris Agreement and declared 2053 as a target year of net zero carbon.

The climate agenda will prioritize new approaches in the energy, transportation, manufacturing, housing and agriculture sectors as the most critical topics in the coming period. Climate migration, for example, also presents itself here as a new crisis that the world has been facing.

The melting of Antarctica, in addition to the North Pole, with its glaciers reaching a depth of 2,500 meters (about 8,200 feet), risks raising ocean and sea levels by 70 meters. The submersion of more than 20% of the world’s landmass could trigger impossible catastrophes from which it would be almost impossible to recover. For this reason, we must take the concepts of global climate change, climate crisis and climate security very seriously and focus on rigorous preparation at national and global levels.

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